From the ‘static’ polls to Trump’s ‘dissing’ of voters, two political scientists look at the Iowa caucus and see more than just the fact that Trump won it, resoundingly.
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Articles on Donald Trump
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Donald Trump may be the GOP’s frontrunner, but there’s a good reason why President Biden wants to face him in November’s presidential election.
In more than a dozen countries this year, populist leaders are poised to either take power or consolidate their hold on the opposition. Migrants are the unfortunate target of populist ire.
The Iowa caucuses have long been an oddity in modern-day politics but remain a place where GOP candidates can test their presidential aspirations.
The result confirms the vast majority of Republican voters are still infatuated with the former president, despite his legal troubles and how little campaigning he’s done thus far.
The Undertow tells how the cultural divisions in American society could allow events like the Capitol storming to happen – and how, despite this, Trump is the Republican frontrunner for president.
The summer break hasn’t changed the Freshwater polling figures for the two major parties federally. Overseas, the former US President is in a strong position ahead of the Iowa caucus.
Despite what January polls suggest, in a Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden rematch in November, a result similar to 2020 would be probable: a big Biden vote lead and tight state-by-state battles.
Donald Trump’s foreign policy plans include forcing an end to the Ukraine war and moving thousands of troops to the Mexican border.
Biden and Trump are polar opposites when it comes to policy. But they have wielded the power of the presidency in similar ways.
Independent candidates have had significant power to affect the result of presidential elections in the past.
Why do so many Americans share the concern that success and integrity are in conflict, as if one comes at the expense of the other?
Biden is not getting a bump in the polls for the improving economy, but historical data suggests it might come soon.
A GOP proposal would make it nearly impossible for most migrants now crossing the US border to gain asylum and the right to remain in the country.
Though Arab Americans voted overwhelmingly for Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election, polling suggests that support has eroded since the Oct. 7 Hamas attack against Israel.
The US Supreme Court faces a case with huge repercussions for the 2024 presidential election – and American democracy. An election law scholar explains why.
Donald Trump’s Iowa caucus campaign is very nuts-and-bolts. That may be a recognition that celebrity will only take him so far and attention to traditional political tools might be in his interest.
A political scientist traces the development of the first-in-the-nation Iowa caucuses and how the small, rural state became influential in presidential politics.
The 2024 elections may see a more intense end-times rhetoric, claims of divine support and a failure to condemn the rise in Christian nationalism, writes a religion scholar.
Biden’s self-confidence has powered impressive achievements. But has it become too much of a good thing?
Top contributors
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Tony Walker is a Friend of The Conversation.
Vice-Chancellor's Fellow, La Trobe University
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Professor in U.S. Politics and U.S. Foreign Relations at the United States Studies Centre and in the Discipline of Government and International Relations, University of Sydney
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Honorary Professor of International Relations, University of the Witwatersrand
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Assistant lecturer, CY Cergy Paris Université
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Professor of International Politics, Clinton Institute, University College Dublin
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Associate Professor and Director of the Centre on US Politics, UCL
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Professor of Law, Drake University
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Assistant researcher, University of Sydney
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Dennis Altman is a Friend of The Conversation.
VC Fellow, La Trobe University
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Professor in The Division of Global Affairs and The Department of Political Science, Rutgers University - Newark
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Lecturer in International Relations, La Trobe University
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Professor of American Studies, University College Dublin
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Chaired professor for Scholarship in the Public Interest in the Department of English and Cultural Studies, McMaster University
