Andrew Reeves, Arts & Sciences at Washington University in St. Louis
Most efforts to project how well a candidate will do in an election are based largely on factors over which presidents have little to no control.
The national flags of some NATO countries fly during an Air Force exercise in Germany on June 11, 2024.
Marcus Brandt/picture alliance via Getty Images
Biden’s team are about to launch a US$25 million television advertising blitz in key battleground states.
Of the eight Republicans on stage at the party’s first presidential debate, six were current or former governors.
Joshua Lott/The Washington Post via Getty Images
A former executive director of the National Governors Association explains what it is about certain governors that makes them less suited for the presidency.
Artificial intelligence looks like a political campaign manager’s dream because it could tune its persuasion efforts to millions of people individually – but it could be a nightmare for democracy.
Democrats have ridden the West to presidential electoral success since 1992, reversing their poor performances from the 1950s through the 1980s.
Rep. Bennie Thompson, a Democrat from Mississippi, is chairman of the House select committee investigating the insurrection at the U.S. Capitol.
Drew Angerer/Getty Images
The US select congressional committee investigating the Jan. 6, 2021, riot at the Capitol has wrapped up its nearly two-year probe of that day’s violent but unsuccessful insurrection.
More than 110 million votes were cast in the U.S. midterm elections of November 2022.
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Jan Leighley, American University School of Public Affairs
Compared with past midterms, voter turnout among young people jumped in 2022 – but it was still below 30%.
In Maine’s 2020 Senate race, not one poll showed the GOP incumbent, Susan Collins, in the lead. But she trounced her Democratic challenger by 9 points.
AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty
Will some polls misfire in prominent races in the 2022 midterms? Probably. Will such errors be eye-catching? In some cases, perhaps. Will the news media continue to tout polls? Undoubtedly.
Former Vice President Mike Pence is seen presiding over the counting of the votes on Jan. 6, 2021, during a hearing of the House January 6 committee in Washington, D.C., on June 16, 2022.
Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images)
The attempt by Donald Trump’s supporters to reverse the 2020 presidential election results shows the need to update the nation’s landmark law for counting presidential votes.
Public trust in elections is being undermined by disinformation campaigns.
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A textual analysis of Joe Biden’s inaugural speech reveals the main lines of his future communication, which will be marked by a clear break with that of his predecessor.
More than 30% of Latinos voted for Trump in the recent elections – a significant result, but not a breakthrough by any stretch, and it can be explained by several factors.
Missouri Republican Sen. Roy Blunt signs an official tally of the Electoral College votes from the 2016 presidential election, in January 2017.
AP Photo/Zach Gibson
Five scholars explain different aspects of the history, workings and effects of the Electoral College.
Florida voters, like these on Nov. 3, have less influence over the Electoral College than their fellow voters in any other state.
AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell
The Electoral College ignores a key democratic principle: one person, one vote.
Antifa activists on the streets of Salem, Oregon, at a rally of extreme right-wing groups such as the Patriot Prayer and the Proud Boys on September 7.
Allison Dinner/AFP
The anti-fa movement gained momentum in the United States following the election of Donald Trump. However, its members do not constitute a threat in the sense of the American president.
The US Supreme Court in Washington DC.
Al Drago/AFP
Anne E. Deysine, Université Paris Nanterre – Université Paris Lumières
Since his election loss, the president has been threatening to go to the Supreme Court in attempt to overturn the results. Unfortunately for him, the court may not be the perfect arbiter of his dreams.
Professeur émérite juriste et américaniste, spécialiste des États-Unis, questions politiques, sociales et juridiques (Cour suprême), Université Paris Nanterre – Université Paris Lumières