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Articles on Polling
Displaying 41 - 60 of 172 articles
It’s the first time since Resolve began doing its monthly surveys last April that Labor has been ahead of the Coalition on primary votes.
Backbenchers are rattling their sabres and a brutal byelection loss has made it all so much worse.
At first glance, the polls suggest the government isn’t feeling the pressure. But there’s another way to look at the situation.
Polling results suggest the ousting of Michael McCormack in favour of Joyce could hurt the Coalition
A task force of polling experts found surveys notably understated support for Donald Trump, both nationally and at the state level. Here’s what may have gone wrong, according to a polling historian.
How the public thinks and feels about restrictions is far more complicated and conflicted than is typically reported.
14% of the UK population often make up a much smaller proportion of people of people polled.
Stung by their failure to accurately predict the outcome of the 2020 presidential election, pollsters collectively went off to figure out what went wrong. They have yet to figure out what or why.
With a state election on Saturday, polls are showing different trends. Meanwhile, vaccine wariness among Australians is growing.
Polling has Labor on a primary vote of 59%, which hasn’t been seen in a state election since New South wales in 1978.
People know a lot about their friends and neighbors – and pollsters can learn from that information, if they ask.
With the next federal election possible as soon as August 2021, the need for reform of polling standards in Australia is urgent.
Pollster Bud Roper once said of his field that “a good deal more than half is art and … less than half is science.” After the 2020 polls got a lot wrong, is it time for more candor from pollsters?
What the polls and the candidates keep getting wrong about the United States’ largest minority group.
Polls predicted a ‘blue wave’ that didn’t materialize.
An expert on the history of polling has a first take on how pollsters did this year.
Punters are more cautious than the polls, suggesting this election might be closer than the media is reporting.
Polling is an imperfect attempt at providing insight and explanation. But the public’s desire for insight and explanation about elections never ends, so polls endure despite their flaws and failures.
A new poll from The Australia Institute shows 71% of Aussies want the country to be a global leader in climate action. Yet Australia lags behind the rest of the world.
Top contributors
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Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professor Emeritus of Communication, American University School of Communication
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Ashbel Smith Professor, School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences, University of Texas at Dallas
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Professor of Economics and Finance. Director of the Betting Research Unit and the Political Forecasting Unit at Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University
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Honorary Professor, University of Sydney
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Professor of Electoral Geography, University of Sheffield
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Emeritus Professor of Politics and International Relations, Macquarie University
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Professor of Politics, University of Strathclyde and Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Social Research, National Centre for Social Research
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Emeritus professor, Monash University
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Director, La Trobe Asia, and Professor of International Relations, La Trobe University
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Professor of Political Science and Public Policy, University of Southampton
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2024 Oxford University visiting research fellow RIJS; Professor of Political Communication., La Trobe University
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Assistant Professor of Mathematics -- Statistics, Knox College
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Professor of Research Methodology, Director of National Centre for Research Methods, University of Southampton
